Energy Security
The uninterrupted availability of energy at affordable prices — and the geopolitical, infrastructure, and market dimensions that determine how secure an energy system truly is.
Definition
Energy security is the reliable, affordable, and sustainable supply of energy to support economic activity and social welfare. The IEA frames energy security through four dimensions — the "4 As":
| Dimension | Definition | Examples of risk |
|---|---|---|
| Availability | Physical existence of energy resources | Reserve depletion; production decline; resource nationalism |
| Accessibility | Geopolitical and logistical access to resources | Pipeline disruption; sanctions; Strait of Hormuz closure; Houthi shipping attacks |
| Affordability | Energy prices that households and businesses can bear | Price spikes; subsidy removal; regressive energy poverty |
| Acceptability | Environmental and social sustainability | Climate change; local air quality; community opposition to infrastructure |
European energy security: before and after 2022
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The pre-2022 European energy security model
- Before 2022, Europe operated under a model of "energy through trade" — accepting high dependence on Russian gas (~40–45% of EU gas imports), Russian oil (~25% of EU oil imports), and Russian coal (~45% of EU coal imports) on the basis that commercial interdependence reduced conflict risk and market mechanisms would ensure supply. This model was supported by Germany's Ostpolitik — the belief that economic engagement would moderate Russian behaviour. The European gas price framework based on long-term pipeline contracts with Gazprom provided pricing predictability but created structural dependency. For context on the LNG market that Europe pivoted to, see our CERAWeek 2028 preview.
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REPowerEU and the European energy security pivot
- REPowerEU (May 2022) was the EU's emergency energy security plan — targeting elimination of Russian fossil fuel dependence by 2027. Key measures: (1) LNG imports: 10 new FSRU (floating storage and regasification units) deployed in Germany, Netherlands, Italy — adding ~50+ bcm/year LNG import capacity by 2024; US, Norwegian, Qatari, and Australian LNG displaced Russian pipeline gas; (2) Norwegian gas surge: Norway increased pipeline gas exports to ~120 bcm/year (2022–2023) from pre-crisis ~110 bcm, via new fields and capacity; (3) Renewable energy acceleration: EU fast-tracked solar, wind, and heat pump deployment; (4) Demand reduction: EU achieved ~15% gas demand reduction vs 2019–2021 average by 2022–2023; (5) Gas storage: EU mandated 80%+ gas storage by November 1 each year. Russian gas fell from ~155 bcm/year (2021) to ~25–30 bcm/year (2025). See our EU Energy Week 2026 for current EU energy policy.
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Energy security and the energy transition: tension and alignment
- The energy transition creates both new energy security vulnerabilities and new security opportunities: New vulnerabilities: (1) Critical minerals — EVs, batteries, and wind turbines require lithium, cobalt, nickel, rare earths; supply concentrated in China and few other nations creates new dependency risks analogous to oil import dependency (see our critical minerals 2026 analysis); (2) Grid security — higher renewable share requires more grid flexibility, storage, and interconnection; cyber and physical attacks on electrical infrastructure are a growing concern; (3) Hydrogen supply chains — if green hydrogen import dependency replicates gas import dependency, the security problem is not solved. New security benefits: (1) Domestic renewable generation — solar and wind are domestic resources not subject to geopolitical supply disruption; (2) Electrification reduces oil import dependency for transport; (3) Energy efficiency directly reduces exposure to volatile fuel prices.
Energy security tools and mechanisms
| Tool | Purpose | Examples |
|---|---|---|
| Strategic petroleum reserves (SPR) | Buffer against supply disruption; IEA coordinates releases | US SPR (~365 mb capacity); EU member state 90-day minimum stock obligations |
| Gas storage mandates | Winter supply security in gas-import-dependent countries | EU gas storage regulation (80% fill by Nov 1) |
| Supply diversification | Reduce single-supplier dependency | EU LNG import terminal buildout; pipeline diversification (Interconnector, TAP, TANAP) |
| Long-term supply contracts | Price and volume certainty | LNG SPAs (Sale and Purchase Agreements); pipeline take-or-pay contracts |
| Domestic production incentives | Increase self-sufficiency | US shale support; Norwegian tax regime; UK North Sea windfall tax debate |
| Demand reduction | Reduce exposure to supply risk | EU 15% gas demand reduction target; efficiency mandates; price signals |
| Energy interconnection | Share emergency capacity across borders | EU electricity interconnection targets; LNG terminal sharing |
For energy security as discussed at CERAWeek — the world's leading industry forum for this debate — see our CERAWeek 2028 preview. For how fuel subsidies intersect with energy affordability security, see our fuel subsidy glossary entry. For Africa's energy security challenges, see our Africa Energy Forum 2027.
Frequently asked questions
What is energy security?
- Energy security is the reliable, affordable, and sustainable supply of energy. The IEA's "4 As": Availability (physical resources), Accessibility (geopolitical/logistical access), Affordability (price levels households and businesses can bear), and Acceptability (environmental sustainability). Energy security operates across timescales: long-run infrastructure investment, medium-run diversification and stockpiling, and short-run emergency response.
How did the Russia-Ukraine war affect European energy security?
- Russia supplied ~40–45% of EU gas, ~25% of oil, ~45% of coal pre-2022. Following the invasion, Europe rapidly diversified: built 10+ FSRU LNG import terminals, increased Norwegian/Algerian gas, accelerated renewables, and implemented demand reduction. Russian gas fell from ~155 bcm/year (2021) to ~25–30 bcm/year (2025). REPowerEU targets full independence by 2027. The crisis permanently shifted European energy security strategy away from pipeline dependency.
What is the energy trilemma?
- The energy trilemma is the challenge of simultaneously achieving: (1) Energy security — reliable, diverse supply; (2) Energy equity/affordability — accessible prices for all; (3) Environmental sustainability — low emissions. The World Energy Council uses this framework to explain why energy policy is difficult — optimising one dimension often compromises others. The 2022 European energy crisis demonstrated the security-sustainability tension: rapid LNG buildout and coal plant extensions sacrificed near-term sustainability for security.